Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.840103 4.580104 5.404594 6.388443 7.527463 8.801519 10.331263
2025-08-31 2.769594 3.715351 4.878608 6.402708 8.333582 10.683783 13.744519
2025-09-07 2.085219 3.089746 4.431528 6.328896 8.911978 12.270779 16.926633
2025-09-14 1.560987 2.530017 3.923079 6.028837 9.078271 13.270907 19.392122
2025-09-21 1.260057 2.210630 3.667716 6.000155 9.558980 14.684871 22.495379
2025-09-28 1.034584 1.953584 3.447819 5.967144 9.994743 16.038828 25.598616
2025-10-05 0.935973 1.882088 3.499172 6.346577 11.077662 18.419766 30.389309
2025-10-12 0.823435 1.761487 3.444812 6.535577 11.863546 20.398557 34.713515
2025-10-19 0.742240 1.681705 3.444896 6.808164 12.801615 22.679135 39.668800
2025-10-26 0.639924 1.539199 3.306876 6.812593 13.273260 24.228398 43.551171
2025-11-02 0.528298 1.353599 3.056439 6.572695 13.280133 24.988459 46.171503
2025-11-09 0.437330 1.192993 2.828209 6.339985 13.265035 25.692827 48.726628
2025-11-16 0.378623 1.096068 2.719630 6.335993 13.688873 27.223132 52.863926
2025-11-23 0.330076 1.013177 2.628121 6.354640 14.157295 28.870500 57.330177
2025-11-30 0.282731 0.921994 2.502512 6.282634 14.434762 30.182233 61.277806
2025-12-07 0.229925 0.802089 2.288350 5.984894 14.215779 30.532975 63.472313
2025-12-14 0.199546 0.738376 2.199218 5.956507 14.553177 31.972684 67.794840
2025-12-21 0.173327 0.680186 2.113671 5.923741 14.874499 33.399001 72.177924
2025-12-28 0.167090 0.684543 2.193622 6.300752 16.133652 36.792698 80.590011
2026-01-04 0.153897 0.662273 2.197432 6.488549 16.981994 39.402316 87.605651
2026-01-11 0.144722 0.651725 2.232403 6.759406 18.044066 42.522522 95.818331
2026-01-18 0.128101 0.609372 2.168295 6.763807 18.481835 44.356722 101.531077
2026-01-25 0.107065 0.543329 2.021040 6.525433 18.314659 44.882450 104.584401